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Table 5 Polygenic risk of conversion of MCI to AD

From: Polygenic effects on the risk of Alzheimer’s disease in the Japanese population

5a PRS.noAPOE

 

All MCI subjects

MCI subjects without APOE ε4

MCI subjects with APOE ε4

HR

95% CI

p value

HR

95% CI

p value

HR

95% CI

p value

PRS (High group)

1.301

0.847–1.998

0.230

2.216

1.058–4.643

0.035

0.985

0.770–1.259

0.902

Age

1.070

0.846–1.353

0.574

1.069

0.725–1.578

0.736

0.961

0.687–1.344

0.816

Sex (Male)

0.858

0.532–1.383

0.529

0.589

0.257–1.353

0.212

0.983

0.539–1.793

0.956

Education year

0.791

0.605–1.035

0.087

0.745

0.452–1.229

0.249

0.856

0.610–1.202

0.37

PC1

0.939

0.769–1.146

0.534

0.769

0.541–1.093

0.143

1.034

0.795–1.343

0.806

PC2

0.954

0.753–1.209

0.697

1.028

0.713–1.481

0.884

0.900

0.647–1.251

0.529

APOE ε4 alleles

1.604

1.153–2.230

0.005

NA

NA

NA

1.108

0.516–2.382

0.793

APOE ε2 alleles

1.447

0.440–4.755

0.543

1.665

0.492–5.635

0.412

NA

NA

NA

Log-rank test (high vs low PRS)

 

0.202

  

0.031

  

0.292

5b PRS.adjLD

 

All MCI subjects

MCI subjects without APOE ε4

MCI subjects with APOE ε4

 

HR

95% CI

p value

HR

95% CI

p value

HR

95% CI

p value

PRS (High group)

1.161

0.752–1.792

0.500

1.547

0.727–3.296

0.258

1.030

0.812–1.305

0.809

Age

1.137

0.902–1.433

0.278

1.251

0.819–1.912

0.301

1.011

0.742–1.379

0.943

Sex (Male)

0.736

0.445–1.219

0.234

0.571

0.234–1.394

0.219

0.808

0.425–1.538

0.516

Education year

0.927

0.714–1.205

0.573

0.873

0.531–1.435

0.592

0.962

0.689–1.344

0.821

PC1

0.909

0.738–1.119

0.368

0.682

0.460–1.011

0.057

1.042

0.801–1.355

0.758

PC2

0.927

0.733–1.173

0.529

1.006

0.697–1.452

0.975

0.910

0.663–1.249

0.558

APOE ε4 alleles

1.560

1.102–2.209

0.012

NA

NA

NA

1.201

0.543–2.658

0.651

APOE ε2 alleles

0.708

0.169–2.965

0.636

0.709

0.163–3.085

0.647

NA

NA

NA

Log-rank test (high vs low PRS)

 

0.236

  

0.174

  

0.650

  1. Abbreviations: HR Hazard ratio, 95% CI 95% confidence interval, APOE apolipoprotein E
  2. Cox proportional hazard model: Conversion/follow-up = PRS (Low = 0, High = 1) + Age + Sex (Female = 0, Male = 1) + Education year + PC1 + PC2 + APOE ε4 alleles + APOE ε2 alleles
  3. HR, 95% CI, and p-value were calculated by a Cox proportional hazard model controlling age at examination, sex, education years, the first two PCs, and the doses of APOE ε4 and ε2 alleles. Statistically significant was highlighted in bold