Predicting Alzheimer’s pathologic change | Predicting Alzheimer’s disease | Predicting AD/non-AD pathologic change | Predicting non-AD pathology | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N | RRR (95% CI) | P | RRR (95% CI) | P | RRR (95% CI) | P | RRR (95% CI) | P | |
Risk exposures | |||||||||
1. Age, years | 1010 | 1.02 (1.00, 1.05) | 0.08 | 1.14 (1.09, 1.19) | 1.3 × 10−09 | 0.97 (0.92, 1.02) | 0.25 | 1.07 (1.04, 1.10) | 2.9 × 10−06 |
2. Sex, female | 1010 | 0.80 (0.58, 1.10) | 0.17 | 0.93 (0.55, 1.56) | 0.78 | 0.71 (0.34, 1.47) | 0.36 | 1.05 (0.71, 1.56) | 0.79 |
3. Education, years | 1010 | 1.00 (0.96, 1.05) | 0.87 | 0.95 (0.89, 1.02) | 0.18 | 1.07 (0.97, 1.18) | 0.16 | 0.99 (0.94, 1.04) | 0.75 |
4. APOE4 | 955 | 1.93 (1.37, 2.72) | 1.6 × 10−04 | 6.48 (3.57, 11.8) | 8.5 × 10−10 | 1.09 (0.50, 2.36) | 0.82 | 1.27 (0.83, 1.93) | 0.27 |
5. Family history | 1010 | 1.00 (0.70, 1.44) | 0.99 | 4.12 (1.93, 8.77) | 2.5 × 10−04 | 0.63 (0.29, 1.37) | 0.25 | 0.75 (0.50, 1.14) | 0.18 |
6. Systolic BP | 1009 | 1.00 (1.00, 1.01) | 0.35 | 1.00 (0.98, 1.02) | 1.0 | 1.01 (0.99, 1.03) | 0.32 | 1.00 (0.99, 1.01) | 0.95 |
7. BMI | 1006 | 0.98 (0.94, 1.02) | 0.29 | 0.88 (0.82, 0.95) | 0.001 | 1.02 (0.94, 1.10) | 0.65 | 0.98 (0.93, 1.02) | 0.30 |
8. High cholesterol | 1010 | 0.75 (0.48, 1.18) | 0.21 | 0.49 (0.22, 1.08) | 0.08 | 0.52 (0.15, 1.77) | 0.30 | 0.84 (0.51, 1.40) | 0.51 |
9. Physical inactivity | 1005 | 0.86 (0.62, 1.19) | 0.36 | 1.01 (0.59, 1.71) | 0.98 | 0.83 (0.38, 1.79) | 0.64 | 1.13 (0.77, 1.67) | 0.53 |
10. Ever smoked | 1005 | 1.09 (0.79, 1.50) | 0.62 | 1.34 (0.79, 2.28) | 0.28 | 1.54 (0.72, 3.29) | 0.27 | 1.39 (0.94, 2.05) | 0.10 |
11. BP medication | 1010 | 0.61 (0.38, 0.97) | 0.04 | 0.48 (0.23, 1.04) | 0.06 | 0.87 (0.32, 2.40) | 0.79 | 0.69 (0.41, 1.18) | 0.18 |
12. Diabetes | 1010 | 0.32 (0.11, 0.94) | 0.04 | 0.81 (0.26, 2.51) | 0.72 | – | 1.44 (0.68, 3.05) | 0.34 | |
13. Prior CVD | 1010 | 0.68 (0.27, 1.73) | 0.42 | 0.71 (0.19, 2.57) | 0.60 | 2.00 (0.43, 9.23) | 0.38 | 1.10 (0.45, 2.70) | 0.84 |
14. Atrial fibrillation | 1010 | 0.87 (0.23, 3.27) | 0.84 | 0.81 (0.10, 6.73) | 0.84 | – | 2.22 (0.72, 6.86) | 0.17 | |
15. WML volume* | 988 | 1.008 (1.003, 1.014) | 0.002 | 1.014 (1.007, 1.020) | 4.0 × 10−05 | 1.012 (1.004, 1.021) | 0.005 | 1.002 (0.995, 1.010) | 0.52 |
16. MMSE | 1009 | 1.02 (0.90, 1.16) | 0.74 | 0.79 (0.68, 0.93) | 0.006 | 1.04 (0.77, 1.41) | 0.80 | 0.91 (0.79, 1.05) | 0.18 |
17. Episodic verbal memory | 1007 | 1.00 (0.96, 1.04) | 0.95 | 0.95 (0.89, 1.01) | 0.10 | 1.03 (0.94, 1.14) | 0.53 | 0.98 (0.93, 1.03) | 0.38 |
18. Executive function | 1007 | 0.98 (0.97, 1.00) | 0.05 | 0.97 (0.95, 1.00) | 0.02 | 0.99 (0.96, 1.03) | 0.70 | 0.98 (0.96, 1.00) | 0.08 |
Composite scores | |||||||||
19. CAIDE | 1002 | 0.92 (0.77, 1.10) | 0.34 | 1.00 (0.75, 1.32) | 0.98 | 0.86 (0.56, 1.32) | 0.49 | 1.05 (0.85, 1.29) | 0.65 |
20. Framingham CVD | 1005 | 0.90 (0.70, 1.12) | 0.33 | 0.84 (0.57, 1.23) | 0.37 | 0.96 (0.56, 1.64) | 0.88 | 0.97 (0.74, 1.27) | 0.82 |
21. Framingham stroke | 1005 | 0.99 (0.78, 1.27) | 0.96 | 0.94 (0.65, 1.37) | 0.75 | 1.31 (0.77, 2.24) | 0.32 | 1.23 (0.93, 1.61) | 0.14 |