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Table 2 CSF biomarkers for predicting the development of AD in patients with MCI

From: Advantages and disadvantages of the use of the CSF Amyloid β (Aβ) 42/40 ratio in the diagnosis of Alzheimer’s Disease

Study

Number of AD patients

Number of MCI/ non-AD patients

Number of control patients

CSF biomarkers

Optimal cut-off*

Sensitivity % (95% CI)**

Specificity % (95% CI)**

AUC (95% CI)

SL (p value)#

Hansson et al. [31]

0

137 (MCI)

0

42

0.64 ng/mL

93 (82–98)

53 (41–64)

0.77 (0.69–0.84)

42/40 ratio

0.95

87 (76–95)

78 (67–86)

0.87 (0.80–0.92)

< 0.05

Hertze et al. [32]

94

166 (MCI) 29

38

MCI-AD vs MCI

 

(DD)

 

42 MSD

< 523

67

71

0.73 (0.66–0.80)

   

42 MSD/40 ratio

< 0.069

85

71

0.86 (0.79–0.91)

NP

42 MSD/38 ratio

< 0.37

88

71

0.85 (0.79–0.91)

NP

Parnetti et al. [33]

28 (AD) 32

58 (MCI-MCI)

0

MCI-AD vs MCI-MCI

(MCI-AD)

28 (OND)

 

42

420.5 pg/mL

56 (38–74)

96 (88–99)

0.85

42/40 ratio

5.3

71 (48–89)

92 (79–98)

0.82

NP

AD vs non-AD (OND)

42

500.0 pg/mL

63 (42–81)

79 (59–92)

0.70

42/40 ratio

5.0

74 (54–89)

79 (59–92)

0.78

NP

Lewczuk et al. [21]

75 (AD-MCI)

0

45

42

691 pg/mL

69.3

88.9

0.895 (0.819–0.946)

42/40 ratio

0.06

93.3

100

0.970 (0.916–0.993)

< 0.0001

Baldeiras et al. [27]

168

197 (MCI)

66

42

585 pg/mL

82

83

0.882 (0.837–0.927)

42/40 ratio

0.068

79

86

0.874 (0.827–0.921)

n.s.

Frölich et al. [34]

0

115 (MCI)

0

42

< 600 pg/mL

74

64

0.68

42/40 ratio

59

75

0.66

NP

  1. *Optimal cut-offs were created using different statistical approaches—please see original articles for details.**Sensitivity and specificity are a function of the cut-off, and the cut-offs were calculated in different ways, therefore they are not clearly comparable across different articles. #Significance levels (p values) of the AUC values are comparisons of the Aβ isoform ratios vs Aβ42 alone. Amyloid beta, AD Alzheimer’s Disease, AD-MCI early AD and MCI, AUC area under curve, DD depressive disorder, MCI mild cognitive impairment, MCI-AD mild cognitive impairment patients progressing to AD, MCI-MCI stable MCI patients, MSD Meso Scale Discovery assay, NP not provided, n.s not significant, OND other neurological diseases, SL significance level