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Table 3 Ten-year Sullivan method life expectancies by subgroup, with disability defined as need for full-time care

From: Personalized predictive modeling for patients with Alzheimer’s disease using an extension of Sullivan’s life table model

 

N

TLE

DFLE

DLE

 

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

  

Mean (95% CI)

Subgroup

 1

59

7.98

(7.78–8.17)

6.47

(6.20–6.74)

1.51

(1.44–1.58)

 2

87

5.18

(5.07–5.29)

2.85

(2.72–2.98)

2.33

(2.31–2.35)

 3

29

6.60

(6.26–6.94)

4.53

(4.12–4.93)

2.08

(2.01–2.15)

 4

11

3.57

(3.38–3.77)

1.23

(1.03–1.44)

2.34

(2.32–2.35)

 0

43

5.64

(5.36–5.93)

3.47

(3.15–3.79)

2.18

(2.13–2.22)

Total

229

6.09

(5.90–6.28)

4.03

(3.80–4.27)

2.06

(2.01–2.11)

Maximum

229

7.98

(7.78–8.17)

6.47

(6.20–6.74)

2.34

(2.32–2.35)

Minimum

229

3.57

(3.38–3.77)

1.23

(1.03–1.44)

1.51

(1.44–1.58)

Ratio

229

2.23

(2.06–2.42)

5.24

(4.30–6.56)

1.55

(1.47–1.64)

  1. Abbreviations: DFLE Disability-free life expectancy, DLE Disabled life expectancy, TLE Total life expectancy
  2. All life expectancy (LE) estimates are 10-year LEs. Survival beyond 10 years was censored. TLE is the sum of DFLE and DLE. The 95% CIs reflect the variation between individuals of the indicated estimates; other sources of variation were assumed negligible. Minima and maxima are for subgroups; CIs for ratios are based on CIs for the corresponding minima and maxima