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Table 1 Variables predicting AD in addition to < −1 SD on two episodic memory tests

From: Predicting Alzheimer's disease development: a comparison of cognitive criteria and associated neuroimaging biomarkers

  

Block by block

Final model

Predictor

Nagelkerke’s R 2

Odds ratio

Confidence interval

P

Odds ratio

Confidence interval

P

Block 1: main predictors

0.422

      

Age

 

1.031

1.0, 1.1

0.146

1.006

1.0, 1.1

0.812

Education

 

0.987

0.9, 1.1

0.780

0.989

0.9, 1.1

0.830

Sex

 

1.131

0.7, 2.0

0.662

1.163

0.6, 2.1

0.626

Mini-mental state exam

 

0.712

0.6, 0.8

<0.001

0.763

0.6, 0.9

0.001

< −1 SD on two tests

 

12.845

6.7, 24.6

<0.001

8.082

3.9, 16.8

<0.001

Block 2: non-memory tests

0.439

      

Category fluency

 

0.853

0.7, 1.1

0.227

0.869

0.7, 1.1

0.314

Boston naming test

 

0.944

0.9, 1.0

0.167

0.948

0.9, 1.0

0.227

Trails B/A ratio

 

1.215

0.9, 1.6

0.130

1.142

0.9, 1.5

0.342

Block 3: biomarkers

0.490

      

Apolipoprotein E ε4

      

0.031

Apolipoprotein E ε4 (1 allele)

    

1.797

1.0, 3.3

0.055

Apolipoprotein E ε4 (2 alleles)

    

2.992

1.2, 7.3

0.016

Total hippocampal volume

    

0.081

0.0, 12.3

0.326

Brain parenchymal fraction

    

0.000

0.0, 27.9

0.123

White matter hyperintensity

    

1.085

1.0, 1.2

0.121

Ventricular cerebrospinal fluid

    

1.135

0.9, 1.4

0.240